![]() | submitted by turtlecane to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/jvwd96r80n921.png?width=690&format=png&auto=webp&s=8081d2134bc187cfb38cc005ae811e0d8cd5756f https://cryptoiq.co/market-analysis-bitcoin-btc-drops-below-critical-3900-level-all-major-cryptocurrencies-down-more-than-10-ethereum-eth-bitcoin-cash-bch-litecoin-ltc-eos-cardano-ada-iota-and-monero/ Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped $430 (11 percent) to $3,590, placing it well below the critical $3,900 level. $3,900 has been the level to watch since that was the price of Bitcoin when the December futures contract expired on CME and is likely the level where CME Bitcoin futures traders took out their positions for the month. Bitcoin (BTC) has faced stiff resistance at the $3,900 level multiple times this month but managed to go above it the past few days after a short squeeze, which was likely caused by Bitfinex temporarily closing down for server migration. Now, however, Bitcoin (BTC) is back below this key level. This suggests that CME Bitcoin futures traders largely went short for January. A past Crypto.IQ article details how CME Bitcoin futures expiration dates have a strong connection to Bitcoin’s price behavior. Image courtesy Bitcoinwisdom.com. Top is Bitcoin price in USD on Bitstamp, bottom is volume in Bitcoins. White line is $3,900 level. Although this is the biggest Bitcoin (BTC) price plunge yet of 2019, several other major cryptocurrencies are doing worse and are down more than 15 percent including Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Litecoin (LTC), Cardano (ADA), IOTA, EOS, and Monero (XMR). This breaks a month-long rally for Ethereum (ETH), Tron (TRX), and Litecoin (LTC), which saw gains of 90 percent, 165 percent, and 75 percent respectively before today’s price drop. Ethereum (ETH) had been rallying on speculation regarding the Constantinople hard fork, coming less than a week from now, since the fork will lower the Ethereum inflation rate by slashing block rewards from three ETH to two ETH. There will also be several new features implemented such as better developer tools and lower transaction fees. The slashing of block rewards and the decision to implement ProgPoW which makes ASICs far less efficient may cause a battle between Ethereum miners and developers. Crypto.IQ speculated that the Ethereum (ETH) Constantinople fork could result in similar tension to the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) fork in November 2018. If this prediction is accurate, a crash in Ethereum’s (ETH) price may ensue. Perhaps the amplified Ethereum (ETH) price drop overnight is due to uncertainty about what will happen when the Constantinople fork launches in less than a week. Notably, Ripple (XRP) has now taken the number two spot on CoinMarketCap since Ripple (XRP) is “only” down 10 percent today while Ethereum (ETH) is down 15 percent. Dogecoin (DOGE) has shown resilience today and is only down seven percent. It has been observed that Dogecoin (DOGE) is less severely impacted by broad price drops in the crypto-space. This is possibly due to Dogecoin (DOGE) having a strong community and simultaneously not being a common choice for speculators. Many more cryptocurrencies than those mentioned in this analysis are down 10 percent or more, and $15.5 billion (11.2 percent) was slashed from the total crypto market cap overnight. Currently, the total crypto market cap is $123 billion, which is still well above the bear market low of $100 billion that we saw during mid-December 2018 when Bitcoin (BTC) hit $3,120 on Bitstamp. It is too soon to say a bottom is in for the crypto market, and if short sellers on CME really are in control this month, as data suggests, then it is possible Bitcoin (BTC) will decline further this month. A re-testing of bear market lows near $3,100 is not out of the question. |
![]() | submitted by turtlecane to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/sd2ka44qknb21.png?width=690&format=png&auto=webp&s=db41a15d099a312c3ebe8c584809a92b30dc9553 https://cryptoiq.co/market-analysis-bitcoin-btc-encounters-strong-resistance-at-3700-level-during-rally-crashes-to-3500-all-major-cryptocurrencies-in-the-red/ Over the last 48 hours, the crypto markets have returned to a state of turbulence after several days of stable conditions. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) rapidly rallied from $3,630 to $3,775 on Jan. 19. The entire rally lasted less than 30 minutes, suggesting it was fueled by automated trading bots responding to a short squeeze. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) then stabilized towards the $3,700 level, which has been a dominant resistance level since Jan. 10. Today, Bitcoin (BTC) crashed from $3,700 to $3,470 and has since then recovered to $3,530. Overall, Bitcoin (BTC) is down four percent in the past 24 hours. It is apparent that $3,500 is the support level to watch and $3,700 is the key resistance level, and these levels have been dominant for 10 days. It is possible that today’s crash is related to the CME Bitcoin futures contract expiration on Jan. 25. It is generally observed that Bitcoin’s (BTC) price declines in the days leading up to a CME futures contract expiration. This is due to a practice called banging the close, where futures traders manipulate an asset to crash right before expiration in order to increase short-selling profits. Certainly, January has been dominated by short sellers, with short positions likely taken out at the $3,900 level just after the December futures contract expired. All other major cryptocurrencies are down today. Ripple (XRP) is down 3.3 percent; Ethereum (ETH) is down 4.2 percent; Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is down 5.5 percent; Bitcoin SV (BSV) is down 2.8 percent; EOS is down 4.7 percent; Stellar (XLM) is down 3.3 percent; Litecoin (LTC) is down five percent; Tron (TRX) is down 1.8 percent; IOTA is down 4.8 percent; Monero (XMR) is down 4.2 percent; Dash is down 5.9 percent; and Dogecoin (DOGE) is down 1.7 percent. Dogecoin (DOGE) continues to show robustness in the face of broad crypto space declines with much less of a loss than other major cryptocurrencies today. Ethereum (ETH) will likely continue to face turbulence in the coming weeks due to the Constantinople hard fork scheduled for late February. The fork is perhaps more unpopular than ever due to the fork being delayed as well as an accidental chain split. The total cryptocurrency market cap has decreased to $120 billion, still 20 percent above bear market lows set in mid-December. Bitcoin (BTC) and the rest of the crypto market are only one crash away from retesting bear market lows, and a crash is quite possible considering the weakness in the Ethereum (ETH) market and the coming CME Bitcoin futures contract expiration on Jan. 25. |
![]() | submitted by turtlecane to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/t7v52kf0wd021.jpg?width=1024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=99bffc2a3353d6f31fa35533db1044f7f830ec63 http://genesisblocknews.com/nuclear-bear-market-meltdown/ The nuclear bear market is melting down like Chernobyl, with the price of Bitcoin crashing lower again on 24 November 2018, from USD 4,200 to as low as USD 3,650. Currently the price of Bitcoin is sputtering around USD 3,750, and perhaps it could dive lower again, since it is Saturday night and most crypto traders are probably unaware of this crash at this point. The total cryptocurrency market cap has dived to USD 124 billion, down USD 16 billion today alone; perhaps Bitcoin led this crash initially, but now altcoins are reacting more severely than Bitcoin. This is the 3rd major crypto crash in only 10 days, and GenesisBlockNews is calling this a nuclear bear market. This is because experts were confident that Bitcoin would hold above USD 5,800 long term, but then a series of news acted like nuclear weapons in shattering that support level, leaving the market in an unrestrained free fall with no true support level. First Bitcoin Cash forked into ABC and SV, practically decimating the concept of Bitcoin Cash. Bitcoin Cash was around USD 600 before the fork, now ABC has fallen below USD 180 and SV is near USD 60. Ethereum has fallen to USD 112, after being at USD 1,400 in January 2018. Ethereum is taking the brunt of the collapse of the initial coin offering (ICO) market. Most ICOs launch using the Ethereum platform. Now the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is enacting harsh civil penalties against ICOs, starting with Paragon and Airfox. This was the 2nd piece of catastrophic news for the crypto space. These civil penalties include the clause that investors who lost money have the right to get their money back, and the SEC said this is the protocol for punishing non-registered ICOs going forward. Paragon, Airfox, and all other ICOs that end up getting prosecuted by the SEC are at risk of going bankrupt, and investors are not waiting for this to happen, they are dumping their coins now. Ethereum used to be solidly in 2nd place throughout most of 2018, but now it is several billion USD behind Ripple (XRP). The 3rd piece of extremely bad news was that physical Bitcoin futures on Bakkt are delayed until late January 2019; traders and investors were banking on the launch of these physical futures to cause a major Bitcoin rally, since it would open up a conduit for institutional investors to directly buy Bitcoin on major stock trading platforms. XRP was fairly stable during the first week of the nuclear bear market, but today it is crashing just as badly as the rest of the cryptos, and is at USD 0.36. Stellar (XLM), which is similar to XRP, is down a devastating 17% today with a market cap that has fallen below USD 3 billion. Litecoin has fallen below USD 30, after being as high as USD 370 about a year ago. The top stablecoin, Tether (USDT), continues to be unstable with a price dropping below USD 0.98 right now. EOS, the biggest ICO in history, has constantly been losing money since it went public and is down over 10% today, with a market cap that has fallen below USD 3 billion. An important thing to note is there are only 8 cryptocurrencies with market caps in excess of USD 1 billion at this point: Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, EOS, Stellar, Tether, and Litecoin. This is much less cryptos above USD 1 billion than earlier this year, and is a good measure of the drastically shrinking crypto market cap. The #1 privacy coin Monero has just fallen below USD 1 billion, as well as Cardano which is a popular alternative to Ethereum. Dash, the #1 X11 coin, has crashed 10% and sits at USD 91. The #1 Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) coin IOTA is down 14%. I could keep going, but you get the point, the crypto casualties are painting red across the board tonight. It is not exactly clear what caused the crypto market crash tonight. Perhaps it is investors pricing in the delay of physical Bitcoin futures on Bakkt, or it is the increasing fear in the ICO market due to the SEC sounding their battle cry at the gates, or some other news that has not come to light yet. GenesisBlockNews believes that crypto traders should disconnect their internet service completely and brew up enough sleepy time tea to pass out for 24 hours, since today could be ugly. It is Saturday night and most crypto traders have not seen this crash yet. Just remember, long term Bitcoin will probably go back to USD 20,000 and more, but it might take some months for the radioactivity from this nuclear bear market to decrease to habitable levels. Simultaneously, GenesisBlockNews believes the crypto space should focus on the fact that Bitcoin is perfect decentralized money, and not focus on Bitcoin being an investment, making me unsure why I wrote this 800 word article on the market crash. I guess this crash is too juicy to ignore. |
![]() | submitted by turtlecane to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/vaqa9br32dz11.jpg?width=820&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=16d9469fa2803d6a8311c9dff4e0e7a58a8eb4d1 http://genesisblocknews.com/nuclear-bear-market-decimating-the-crypto-market-cap/ The crypto space has entered a nuclear bear market. The definition of a nuclear bear market is that when everything finally seems peaceful and a bottom is in place, a nuclear bomb goes off and the market’s bottom falls out. For a long time traders, experts, and crypto enthusiasts thought the absolute bottom price for Bitcoin was around USD 5,800 per Bitcoin, or a total crypto market cap around USD 200 billion. As of this writing on 19 November 2018 the crypto market is going straight down. Bitcoin is at USD 4,700, corresponding to a USD 82 billion market cap, and the overall crypto market cap is at USD 162 billion. In the past day 2 weeks USD 60 billion has been liquidated out of the crypto market cap. The decline in Bitcoin’s price was initiated by the Bitcoin Cash hard fork, which left us with Bitcoin Cash SV and Bitcoin Cash ABC, who are aggressively fighting each other and succeeding in making both forks like stupid. This could be the death knell for Bitcoin Cash, it has lost 50% of its value since the fork happened and is dropping sharply each and every day. The collapse of Bitcoin Cash, a cryptocurrency that used to have a USD 10+ billion market cap, is big enough news in itself, but it seems like it destabilized the entire market. It is likely the mainstream media reported that Bitcoin itself was forking, which caused people to sell Bitcoins. Beyond this, investors now realize how vulnerable altcoins are to community battles and forks. The nuclear bear market really went into effect when the SEC issued its first civil penalties for the initial coin offerings (ICOs) Paragon (PRG) and Airfox (AIR). The SEC said investors could get their original investments back, which would certainly bankrupt those companies. The SEC says this will be their model going forward. PRG and AIR launched way back in 2017, meaning ICOs that occurred in 2017 and 2018, which is practically all of them, are at risk of being destroyed by SEC enforcement. This is causing a broad price collapse across ICO cryptocurrencies. Ethereum is being hit particularly hard, since most ICOs use Ethereum’s ERC-20 protocol, and run on the the Ethereum blockchain. Users and investors are evacuating Ethereum right now, with its current price at USD 150 and dropping, after being USD 1,400 earlier in 2018. For most of 2018 Ethereum was the #2 crypto by market cap, but now it is USD 5 billion behind Ripple (XRP). It seems possible that Ethereum will transition from being a top cryptocurrency to just another altcoin. Most of the top ERC-20 tokens, like OmiseGO, Maker, 0x, Basic Attention Token, Aeternity, Zilliqa, Augur, Golem, etc. are down 20% or more. These are all ICOs, and at risk of SEC enforcement. The SEC has the jurisdiction to attack ICOs retroactively, meaning ICOs that launched before the SEC announcement regarding ICOs being securities in 2017. As far as the SEC is concerned, securities are securities, no matter when they launched. The nuclear bear market is impacting all major cryptocurrencies, not just ICO tokens, with Litecoin, Dash, EOS, Monero, and Zcash down 10-20%. Overall the trend is that investors, traders, and enthusiasts across the space are dumping as fast as they can. GenesisBlockNews believes this nuclear bear market is the inevitable end result of the ICO contagion which has contaminated the entire crypto space. Most investors have lost money on ICOs, scaring them away from the space. It might be bad now, but ultimately the crypto space will be healthier once the ICO market fully collapses, since then the focus will shift back towards Bitcoin, the real king of decentralized money. |
![]() | submitted by turtlecane to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/gohftiv3bb921.png?width=690&format=png&auto=webp&s=cc49be4e296ca272c29e6fd58b7dac6122ce8edf https://cryptoiq.co/daily-market-analysis-mini-bitcoin-btc-rally-stomped-out-litecoin-ltc-and-tron-trx-rally/ Things got a tad exciting today during the morning hours, Eastern time, with the price of Bitcoin (BTC) steadily surging from $3,975 to $4,112 on Bitstamp, which is the highest Bitcoin price of 2019 so far. It seemed like perhaps Bitcoin was finally leaving that key resistance level of $3,900 in the dust, but the mild euphoria did not last for long. Bitcoin came back down to Earth, and is oscillating close to the $4,000 level as of this writing at 6 p.m. EST. It looks like Bitcoin cannot escape the gravity of the $3,900 level, which is possibly the level where Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures traders placed their short bets. That’s because $3,900 was the price of Bitcoin after the December 2018 contract expired. Certainly the $3,900 level is a key point of interest this month. If Bitcoin crosses back below $3,900 a more significant drop could follow. If Bitcoin persists above $3,900 and rallies beyond $4,000, then perhaps this month could be a rally after all. The total cryptocurrency market cap surged from $134.5 billion to $138.5 billion during today’s mini rally and currently sits near $136 billion. Therefore, today is a slight up day for the crypto market. Litecoin (LTC) and Tron (TRX) lead the way with 4 percent and 12 percent increases, respectively. EOS is the only other major cryptocurrency that is up today with a one percent increase. In the past month, Litecoin has rallied from $23 to $40 (74 percent), and Tron (TRX) has rallied from 1.27 cents to 2.65 cents (109 percent). During the same period of time, Bitcoin (BTC) has rallied from $3,120 to $4,000 (28 percent). Major cryptocurrencies that have declined today include Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Ripple (XRP) with losses of less than one percent. Bitcoin SV (BSV), IOTA, and Dash are down two percent. Ethereum Classic (ETC) declined 10 percent yesterday on the news that a 51 percent attack occurred. Despite more information today revealing that 15 separate attacks happened, and $1.1 million of double spends have occurred, Ethereum Classic (ETC) has been quite stable. The Ethereum Classic (ETC) debacle may be dragging down Ethereum (ETH) slightly as well since the 51 percent attacks have sparked debates in both communities over whether ASIC miners should be banned. Overall, today was a bit underwhelming and perhaps depressing since the attempt at a Bitcoin (BTC) rally ended up getting squashed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) going up 1,000 points in the past 4 days is possibly making it harder for Bitcoin (BTC) to rally. If the stock market continues to show signs of strength, stock traders will not use Bitcoin (BTC) as a safe haven asset. The DJIA is 2,000 points above lows set on Christmas Eve, overriding many economic parameters and defying analysis that perhaps suggested a big stock crash was imminent. |
![]() | submitted by turtlecane to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/b5m4txn0zga21.png?width=690&format=png&auto=webp&s=5bca74656c8541e6c18eaaf77496e6ba8b42fe95 https://cryptoiq.co/market-analysis-all-major-cryptocurrencies-up-4-10-percent-tron-trx-rallies-15-percent/ The crypto market has been like a rollercoaster the past couple of days. Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) plunged from $3,620 to $3,500 in less than 30 minutes, and today, Bitcoin rallied from $3,530 to $3,670 in about an hour. Afterward, the price of Bitcoin slowly increased to $3,700 but has now dropped a bit and is near $3,660 as of this writing. This represents a four percent gain for Bitcoin (BTC) in the past day. Other major cryptocurrencies have done even better. Ripple (XRP) is up five percent; Ethereum (ETH) is up 10 percent; Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is up six percent; Bitcoin SV (BSV) is up five percent; EOS is up nine percent; Stellar (XLM) is up five percent; Dash is up five percent; Dogecoin (DOGE) is up four percent; and Litecoin (LTC) is up six percent. IOTA, which is the number one directed acyclic graph (DAG) cryptocurrency is up five percent. The privacy coins Monero (XMR) and Zcash (ZEC) are both up six percent. The biggest success story of the day is Tron (TRX) with a 15 percent rally. Tron (TRX) has truly been on a rollercoaster this past month with a 170 percent price increase followed by a 36 percent price drop, and now today’s rally. Today’s price action could possibly be a double peak, which is common when speculative bubbles pop. Yesterday it was speculated that the current Tron (TRX) market may turn into a pump and dump. The rallies of all major cryptocurrencies have caused an increase in the total cryptocurrency market cap from $117 billion to $123.5 billion (5.5 percent). Currently, the cryptocurrency market cap is almost exactly the same as it was before yesterday’s crash. Therefore, today’s price action has simply recovered yesterday’s losses. Ethereum (ETH) is perhaps back to rally mode because of speculation that the Constantinople hard fork coming in less than a few days will be a good thing for Ethereum (ETH) since it slashes the inflation rate and lowers transaction fees. Ethereum (ETH) has gained ground on Ripple’s (XRP) market cap and is only $300 million away from re-taking the number two spot, whereas yesterday Ethereum (ETH) was $900 million behind Ripple (XRP). Miners are the ones losing out from the slashing of the Ethereum (ETH) inflation rate, i.e. the block reward, from three Ether to two, and tension between miners and developers may cause price turbulence for Ethereum (ETH) and ERC-20 tokens in the coming weeks. Numerous cryptocurrencies in the top 100 on CoinMarketCap are ERC-20 tokens. Perhaps an event that could influence the crypto market in coming days is the Bitcoin futures expiration on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBoE) on Jan. 16. January appears to be a month dominated by short sellers, so perhaps short sellers on CBoE will bang the close and cause Bitcoin’s (BTC) price to decline right before expiration to increase their short-selling profits. $3,900 continues to be the level to watch since that is likely where Bitcoin futures traders on CME took out their monthly short positions. Bitcoin (BTC) has some freedom to go upwards before encountering strong resistance at that level. As the Jan. 25 CME Bitcoin futures expiration approaches, the chance of a Bitcoin (BTC) price drop becomes more likely. |
![]() | submitted by turtlecane to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/z1p7o4sg06921.png?width=690&format=png&auto=webp&s=6cf4d3c95b0356e7f37fece6e7cf52c81a0028ad https://cryptoiq.co/daily-market-analysis-bitcoin-falls-to-4000-ethereum-eth-bitcoin-cash-bch-eos-eos-and-litecoin-ltc-drop-3-to-4-percent/ The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been steadily declining today and is crossing through the $4,000 level as of this writing. Jan. 6 saw strong price action for Bitcoin, with the price rising from $3,800 to $4,090 on Bitstamp, puncturing the $3,900 resistance level. This rally was caused by a short squeeze simultaneous with Bitfinex’s announcement that it would be closing for a period of time due to server migration. Essentially, when this news broke yesterday, some short sellers closed their positions on Bitfinex, and closing a short position inherently requires buying Bitcoin. As shorts closed, Bitcoin’s price began to rise, causing more shorts to close, and so on and so on until Bitcoin had risen nearly $300. The gains from the short squeeze rally are slowly being lost, and it is possible that Bitcoin will cross back below the $3,900 resistance level. If the market was favorable for a rally, the short squeeze on Jan. 6 should have been enough to initiate it, but it seems there is strong downward pressure overall. This downward pressure is perhaps due to Bitcoin futures traders on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Futures contracts expirations on CME have been shown to have a significant impact on the Bitcoin market. In fact, it seems each month is defined by whether CME futures traders have gone long or short on Bitcoin. The latest CME futures expiration was Dec. 28. In the below Bitcoin price chart, that expiration is quite visible with a sudden crash right before expiration, which is likely “banging the close,” in which futures traders crash the spot price of an asset right before expiration to increase short profits. https://preview.redd.it/gucyuppk06921.png?width=512&format=png&auto=webp&s=c5b4843a747425d53ccc23f62b2d429d02a09256 After the expiration, Bitcoin was near $3,900, and this is possibly where CME Bitcoin futures traders took out short positions, especially since it was a strong resistance level that was approached but not breached through Jan. 5. The short squeeze did break the $3,900 resistance level, but if CME Bitcoin futures traders truly did short from $3,900, it would be expected that Bitcoin will again drop below $3,900. Other Major Cryptocurrencies Generally Declining More Steeply Than Bitcoin Today is certainly a down day for Bitcoin, but other cryptocurrencies seem to be doing worse. The total cryptocurrency market cap has declined $3 billion today. This has been led by Ethereum (ETH) which is down 4 percent to $151, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) which is down 3.5 percent to $161, EOS which is down 4 percent to $2.76, and Litecoin (LTC) which is down 4 percent to $37.70. Today’s Litecoin (LTC) and Ethereum (ETH) losses follow a month of serious gains. Litecoin (LTC) is up $14 (58 percent) and Ethereum (ETH) is up $70 (84 percent) in the past month. The current fall in Ethereum’s (ETH) price may be partially due to the overall market trend, but may also be spillover from the 51 percent attack on Ethereum Classic (ETC). The price of ETC has declined 10 percent since news of the 51 percent attack broke today, slashing $60 million from the market cap. The debate over the cause of the 51 percent attack, which may have been ETHash ASICs, has led to an outcry in the Ethereum community to ban ASICs in the Constantinople hard fork. The fork is less than 10 days away, and perhaps this is the beginning of a long battle in the Ethereum space between miners and developers. Ethereum Classic (ETC) will likely see heavy losses in the short term, and Ethereum (ETH) may be dragged lower with it. The next day may see more losses for Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies if Bitcoin heads back to the $3,900 resistance level and below, the level where CME Bitcoin futures traders possibly took out shorts. |
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